[SimplifyCFG] 'Fold branch to common dest': don't overestimate the cost

`FoldBranchToCommonDest()` has a certain budget (`-bonus-inst-threshold=`)
for bonus instruction duplication. And currently it calculates the cost
as-if it will actually duplicate into each predecessor.

But ignoring the budget, it won't always duplicate into each predecessor,
there are some correctness and profitability checks.
So when calculating the cost, we should first check into which blocks
will we *actually* duplicate, and only then use that block count
to do budgeting.